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Regional Economy
Our economists analyze local economic growth, labor markets, real estate, and public finance issues, contributing to discussions of regional and national economic policy.
 
Regional Indexes of Coincident Economic Indicators
Our Indexes of Coincident Economic Indicators (CEI) for June show moderate growth in economic activity in New York State, continued brisk growth in New York City, and a continued flat level of activity in New Jersey. Coincident Economic Indicators
Features
Journal of Regional Science’s 50th Anniversary Conference
The conference was co-organized by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York and the Journal of Regional Science. It marked the 50th anniversary of the Journal of Regional Science. Urban and Regional researchers presented state of the art papers on their respective topics.
Recent Articles
Current IssuesThe Recession’s Impact on the State Budgets of New York and New Jersey
The authors provide an overview of the budget process in New York and New Jersey and explore why the recession has taken such a toll on the states’ fiscal condition.
By Richard Deitz, Andrew F. Haughwout, and Charles Steindel, Current Issues in Economics and Finance Second District Highlights (16) 6, June/July 2010
Staff ReportsCan Subjective Expectations Data Be Used in Choice Models? Evidence on Cognitive Biases
This paper examines the extent to which cognitive biases plague subjective data, specifically addressing 1) whether cognitive dissonance affects the reporting of beliefs, and 2) whether individuals exert sufficient mental effort when probed about their subjective beliefs.
By Basit Zafar, Staff Reports 454, June 2010
Staff ReportsBayesian Social Learning, Conformity, and Stubbornness: Evidence from the AP Top 25
The authors find evidence of significant voter heterogeneity, and that voters are less responsive to peer rankings after they have been on the poll a few years.
By Daniel Stone and Basit Zafar, Staff Reports 453, June 2010
Current IssuesBypassing the Bust: The Stability of Upstate New York’s Housing Markets during the Recession
An analysis of upstate housing markets over the most recent residential real estate cycle indicates that the region's relatively low incidence of nonprime mortgages and the better-than-average performance of these loans contributed to this stability.
By Jaison R. Abel and Richard Deitz, Current Issues in Economics and Finance (16) 3, March 2010
Staff ReportsProductivity and the Density of Human Capital
The authors estimate a model of urban productivity in which the agglomeration effect of density is enhanced by a metropolitan area’s stock of human capital.
By Jaison Abel, Ishita Dey, and Todd Gabe, Staff Reports 440, March 2010
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Current Economic Indicators

Empire State Manufacturing SurveyEmpire State Manufacturing Survey
The survey indicates that while conditions for New York manufacturers continued to improve in July, the pace of growth in business activity slowed substantially. The general business conditions index remained positive but fell 15 points, to 5.1.
July 15, 2010

The Beige BookBeige Book OFFSITE
The Second District's economy has shown further signs of strengthening, on balance, since the last report. Input price pressures have receded a bit, while consumer prices appear to be steady.
July 28, 2010

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